Bitcoin ETF Flows on August 12?
This market has closed. Historical prices and resolution details are shown below.
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How this market resolves
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Resolution sourceFarside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title
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If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title.
The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market FAQ: Bitcoin ETF Flows on August 12?
What are the current odds for Bitcoin ETF Flows on August 12??
The market currently prices "Negative" at 100%, or 100¢ per share on Polymarket. Odds update in real time as trades hit the order book.
How does this prediction market work?
Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it happens and $0 if it does not. The current price of a share, in cents, equals the implied probability the market assigns. Right now "Negative" trades at 100¢, so the market thinks there is a 100% chance of it resolving true.
How much would I earn on a $100 stake?
At 100¢ a $100 stake buys 100 shares. If the market resolves in your favor you receive $100. If it does not, you lose the $100 stake.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve on August 12, 2026 once the outcome is officially confirmed by the underlying source.
Is trading this market legal?
Polymarket is not currently available to US residents due to CFTC restrictions; Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and offers a subset of these markets to US users. Marketss aggregates prices and analysis for informational purposes and does not accept wagers.