BNB Up or Down - August 15, 2AM ET
The market currently prices “Up” at 50% (50¢ per share on Polymarket). Resolves 2 days.
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Payout calculator
See exactly what a stake on this market pays out at current odds.
How we calculate payouts
Polymarket sells outcome shares between $0.01 and $0.99. Each share pays exactly $1 if its outcome resolves true, and $0 if it resolves false. The calculator on this page applies these formulas:
- Shares bought = stake ÷ share price
- Payout if you win = shares bought × $1
- Profit if you win = payout − stake
- Loss if you lose = your full stake
- Decimal odds = 1 ÷ share price
- American odds = +((1 − p) / p) × 100 when p < 0.5, else −(p / (1 − p)) × 100
- Implied probability = share price × 100%
Real fills depend on the order book, available liquidity, and any fees charged by the venue. The calculator uses the current mid-price as a quick estimate, not a quoted execution price.
US availability: live for residents of 51 states and DC. See state-by-state legality.
Tax treatment: Winnings from CFTC-regulated prediction markets are reported as ordinary income. Kalshi issues a Form 1099-B automatically; Polymarket US does not, so users must self-report gains from resolved contracts. Crypto-denominated payouts on Polymarket USDC create a taxable event at the moment of resolution and again on any subsequent USDC-to-USD conversion. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
How this market resolves
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Resolves NO ifresolve to "Down"
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Resolution sourceinformation from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT)
Show full rules
The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market FAQ: BNB Up or Down - August 15, 2AM ET
What are the current odds for BNB Up or Down - August 15, 2AM ET?
The market currently prices "Up" at 50%, or 50¢ per share on Polymarket. Odds update in real time as trades hit the order book.
How does this prediction market work?
Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it happens and $0 if it does not. The current price of a share, in cents, equals the implied probability the market assigns. Right now "Up" trades at 50¢, so the market thinks there is a 50% chance of it resolving true.
How much would I earn on a $100 stake?
At 50¢ a $100 stake buys 200 shares. If the market resolves in your favor you receive $200. If it does not, you lose the $100 stake.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve on August 15, 2026 once the outcome is officially confirmed by the underlying source.
Is trading this market legal?
Polymarket is not currently available to US residents due to CFTC restrictions; Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and offers a subset of these markets to US users. Marketss aggregates prices and analysis for informational purposes and does not accept wagers.