Solana Up or Down - August 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
The market currently prices “Up” at 51% (51¢ per share on Polymarket). Resolves tomorrow.
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Payout calculator
See exactly what a stake on this market pays out at current odds.
How we calculate payouts
Polymarket sells outcome shares between $0.01 and $0.99. Each share pays exactly $1 if its outcome resolves true, and $0 if it resolves false. The calculator on this page applies these formulas:
- Shares bought = stake ÷ share price
- Payout if you win = shares bought × $1
- Profit if you win = payout − stake
- Loss if you lose = your full stake
- Decimal odds = 1 ÷ share price
- American odds = +((1 − p) / p) × 100 when p < 0.5, else −(p / (1 − p)) × 100
- Implied probability = share price × 100%
Real fills depend on the order book, available liquidity, and any fees charged by the venue. The calculator uses the current mid-price as a quick estimate, not a quoted execution price.
US availability: live for residents of 51 states and DC. See state-by-state legality.
Tax treatment: Winnings from CFTC-regulated prediction markets are reported as ordinary income. Kalshi issues a Form 1099-B automatically; Polymarket US does not, so users must self-report gains from resolved contracts. Crypto-denominated payouts on Polymarket USDC create a taxable event at the moment of resolution and again on any subsequent USDC-to-USD conversion. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
How this market resolves
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Resolves NO ifit will resolve to "Down"
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Resolution sourceinformation from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams
Show full rules
The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams.
Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market FAQ: Solana Up or Down - August 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
What are the current odds for Solana Up or Down - August 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET?
The market currently prices "Up" at 51%, or 51¢ per share on Polymarket. Odds update in real time as trades hit the order book.
How does this prediction market work?
Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it happens and $0 if it does not. The current price of a share, in cents, equals the implied probability the market assigns. Right now "Up" trades at 51¢, so the market thinks there is a 51% chance of it resolving true.
How much would I earn on a $100 stake?
At 51¢ a $100 stake buys 198 shares. If the market resolves in your favor you receive $198. If it does not, you lose the $100 stake.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve on August 14, 2026 once the outcome is officially confirmed by the underlying source.
Is trading this market legal?
Polymarket is not currently available to US residents due to CFTC restrictions; Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and offers a subset of these markets to US users. Marketss aggregates prices and analysis for informational purposes and does not accept wagers.